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2026-27 Winter Forecast for Southwest Virginia

El Niño is all the talk as we head into the cold season. Sure, it has its well-known influence on the weather around the world,...

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01 SEVERE FLOODING THREAT PERSISTS ACROSS SOUTH TEXAS
Impacted locations Texas: South TexasTexas: South-Central TexasTexas: Rio Grande ValleyTexas: Coastal Bend The NWS Flood Watch covers portions of South Texas, including communities from the Rio Grande Valley toward Corpus Christi and the Coastal Bend.
  • A Flood Watch remains in effect through Monday morning for a large portion of South Texas; check local alerts before driving.
  • The NWS forecasts widespread rainfall of 2–5 inches, with isolated totals of 7–9 inches possible where storms repeatedly develop.
  • Flooded roads, poor drainage and rising creeks or streams could disrupt driving; coastal flooding and high rip-current risks also affect portions of the coast.
4 / 5
SEVERE impact More details
Potential disruption

The active Flood Watch and forecast rainfall support a significant localized flooding threat. Excessive runoff could flood rivers, creeks, streams and low-lying areas. These are forecast impacts; widespread damage or closures have not been established by the cited products.

Timing: Sunday, November 8 – Monday, November 9, morning
Forecast confidence
VERY HIGH
CONFIDENCE IS SEPARATE FROM IMPACT

The NWS Corpus Christi Flood Watch provides specific affected counties, rainfall ranges and potential impacts. The Weather Prediction Center maintains a Slight Risk of excessive rainfall for Sunday and a Marginal Risk for portions of South Texas Monday.

Since last update: NEW
Road Travel4/5 Community Impacts3/5 Coastal Recreation3/5
Key hazards: Heavy rainfall; Excessive runoff; Flash flooding; Urban flooding; Coastal flooding; High rip-current risk; Thunderstorms
Population at risk: Not quantified in the cited official products.
02 SEVERE INTENSE RAINFALL THREATENS NORTHEASTERN AND EASTERN MEXICO
Impacted locations CoahuilaNuevo LeónTamaulipasVeracruzOaxacaChiapasTabasco The strongest Sunday rainfall forecast is focused on northern, northeastern and eastern Coahuila, northern Nuevo León and northern Tamaulipas. Additional heavy rainfall is forecast in parts of Veracruz, Oaxaca, Chiapas and Tabasco.
  • The SMN forecasts 75–150 mm of rain in parts of Coahuila, Nuevo León and Tamaulipas on Sunday, November 8.
  • Additional heavy rainfall is forecast Monday through Wednesday, including locally heavy rain in parts of northeastern and eastern Mexico.
  • Travelers should watch for reduced visibility, water-covered roads, rising rivers and streams, and possible landslides in vulnerable terrain.
4 / 5
SEVERE impact More details
Potential disruption

Locally intense rainfall in northeastern Mexico and additional heavy rainfall across eastern and southeastern states could create significant localized disruption to roads, communities and infrastructure. The SMN identifies flooding, rising rivers and streams, and landslides as possible consequences. Widespread damage is not confirmed.

Timing: Sunday, November 8 – Wednesday, November 11
Forecast confidence
HIGH
CONFIDENCE IS SEPARATE FROM IMPACT

The November 8 SMN general forecast identifies the most affected states and rainfall ranges. Its 96-hour forecast describes continued rainfall through Wednesday, although exact rainfall placement and localized impacts remain uncertain.

Since last update: NEW
Road Travel4/5 Community Impacts3/5 Air Travel2/5
Key hazards: Locally intense rainfall; Heavy rainfall; Thunderstorms; Lightning; Strong wind gusts; Rising rivers and streams; Landslides; Flooding in low-lying areas; Reduced visibility from fog
Population at risk: Not quantified in the cited official products.
03 SIGNIFICANT DAMAGING WIND GUSTS THREATEN TRAVEL AND UTILITIES IN ALBERTA
Impacted locations Alberta: Yellowhead CountyAlberta: Clearwater CountyAlberta: Foothills CountyAlberta: RanchlandAlberta: Crowsnest PassAlberta: Pincher Creek Environment and Climate Change Canada has wind warnings for several communities and districts in western and southwestern Alberta, including areas near Hinton, Cadomin, Robb, Turner Valley, Longview, Crowsnest Pass and Pincher Creek.
  • Environment Canada warns of damaging wind gusts of 90–100 km/h in affected Alberta districts, with gusts potentially exceeding 110 km/h closer to the U.S. border.
  • High winds may make travel difficult for high-profile vehicles and create hazards from falling branches or other debris.
  • Localized utility and service disruptions are possible; Environment Canada expects winds to begin easing Sunday evening.
3 / 5
SIGNIFICANT impact More details
Potential disruption

Active official wind warnings identify potential transportation, utility and service disruptions. The strongest gusts are expected to ease Sunday evening, limiting the duration of the highest impacts.

Timing: Sunday, November 8 – Sunday evening, November 8
Forecast confidence
VERY HIGH
CONFIDENCE IS SEPARATE FROM IMPACT

Environment Canada's active warning bulletin specifies affected Alberta districts, gust ranges, expected timing and potential disruptions.

Since last update: NEW
Road Travel3/5 Infrastructure3/5 Community Impacts2/5
Key hazards: Damaging wind gusts; Crosswinds; Falling branches and debris; Localized utility outages
Population at risk: Not quantified in the cited official products.